Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 23 Mar 2026, the highest close was 34% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 34% on 23 Mar 2026.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 4:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 73.18 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 20 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-tournament-national-champion-seed
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