Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 68% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2025 to 29 Mar 2025, the highest close was 68% on 25 Mar 2025 and the lowest 38.5% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 38.5% on 29 Mar 2025. $29.23K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 7:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Mar 2025 – 29 Mar 2025, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2025 | 68.0% |
| 29 Mar 2025 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HotelGateway | Yes | 12.82 |
| wizard1992 | Yes | 5 |
| pisajie | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a #1 seed loses a game in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Sweet 16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason the Sweet 16 has not been determined by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-1-seed-lose-in-the-sweet-16
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