Analytics
Resolved No on 24 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 21 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 May 2025 to 24 May 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 22 May 2025 and the lowest 10.5% on 23 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 10.5% on 23 May 2025. $7.46K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 May 2025 – 24 May 2025, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2025 | 25.5% |
| 24 May 2025 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.19K |
| Great-Calculation | Yes | 43.48 |
| ysstheog | Yes | 8.7 |
| Boosey | Yes | 4.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
As of May 20, 12:00 PM, 6 of the 10 inmates who escaped from a New Orleans jail remain at large (see: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-orleans-inmates-escape-update/) This market will resolve according to how many of the 10 inmates have been placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by May 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government authorities.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-inmates-caught-by-friday
| caroline.name | No | 0.02 |
| borogrid | No | 0.02 |
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