Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 21 Feb 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 25 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.5% on 26 Jan 2025. $42.48K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 2:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 21 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 48.5% |
| 21 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 40.42K |
| bEVamVmwLL | Yes | 904 |
| DCRbIGKUEQ | Yes | 240 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of YEA votes Kash Patel receives, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of the FBI. If another individual is confirmed as Director of the FBI for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (<49). If Kash Patel is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of the FBI without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (<49). If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (<49). Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel-as-director-of-the-fbi
| Yes |
| 0.01 |
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