Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
$13.83K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 51.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 377 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 37 |
| TheNoobBeaver | Yes | 22.67 |
| dredn | Yes | 1.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 51 or more U.S. Senator vote in favor of the next reconciliation bill in the Senate by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first final passage vote (not a motion to proceed or a cloture vote), regardless of if the bill is passed. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-51-senators-vote-for-the-next-reconciliation-bill
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