Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 11 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2025 to 12 Feb 2025, the highest close was 32.5% on 3 Feb 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 12 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 10.1% on 5 Feb 2025. $64.08K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 4:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 11 Jan 2025 – 12 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | 18.0% |
| 12 Feb 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.18K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 5.4K |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives exactly 50 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-vote-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard
| Yes |
| 53.29 |
| DamonLewis | Yes | 8.85 |
| Echelonprt | Yes | 0.03 |
| uliysanc | No | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
