Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?

geopoliticsResolved

No, settled Aug 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$59.8K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 4, 2026 UTC

Topic roomStrait of Hormuz Iran–Israel

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC	82.5%	82.5%
Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC	86.0%	86.0%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC	85.0%	85.0%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC	79.5%	79.5%
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	27.0%	27.0%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC	51.0%	51.0%
Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC	53.5%	53.5%
Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC	45.5%	45.5%
Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC	39.0%	39.0%
Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC	36.0%	36.0%
Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC	18.0%	18.0%
Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC	30.0%	30.0%
Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC	49.5%	49.5%

Topic room

Read this market in context

Research behind the numbers

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC

82.5%

Aug 3, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

86.0%

Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC

85.0%

Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC

79.5%

Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC

27.0%

Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC

51.0%

Jul 25, 12:00 AM UTC

53.5%

Jul 24, 12:00 AM UTC

45.5%

Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC

39.0%

Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC

36.0%

Jul 21, 12:00 AM UTC

28.0%

Jul 20, 12:00 AM UTC

18.0%

Jul 19, 12:00 AM UTC

30.0%

Jul 18, 12:00 AM UTC

49.5%