Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 42.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 0.1% on 22 Jan 2025. $96.38K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 22 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 18.0% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 51.78K |
| Gorillamode420 | Yes | 1.06K |
| Morrismgs | Yes | 666.67 |
| yamoshoto | Yes | 330 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 32,000,000 (inclusive) and 35,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-people-will-watch-trump-inauguration
| MLa-727 | Yes | 31.25 |
| FelixBenner | Yes | 15.79 |
| RicardoI | Yes | 8.06 |
| Sombrero | Yes | 4.67 |
| vveranddnis | No | 0.04 |
| eieio | No | 0.03 |
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