Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.3%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 20 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 78% on 17 Jun 2026. $21.03K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 8:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 82.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 97.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tomatosauce2 | No | 550.32 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| entoni07 | No | 90.91 |
| .Menthe | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-nopt-of-matches-decided-by-penalty-shootout-20260610210228234
| Uncomfortable-Mastication-Instrumentalist | No | 31.25 |
| menthe2 | No | 25 |
| Berkah-Karya | No | 18.1 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| Oklmntrader | No | 12.5 |
| 66sdf | No | 4.25 |
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