Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 42 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 77 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 11%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 65.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
6th or higher ranks third of the 5 outcomes in “Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?”. 10th-12th leads at 53%; 7th-9th is at 43%.
$192.6 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.02K since listing. The order book holds $4.06K, with a 3.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 166 trades, $316.33 bought Yes and $5.59K bought No.
The largest Yes position is MikeMoore with 4.1K shares; the largest No position is stormshadow with 5.4K. Ten wallets hold 95.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Feb 2027, 94 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stormshadow | No | 5.4K |
| MikeMoore | Yes | 4.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 987.76 |
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-highest-uptspt-domestic-box-office-years-on-record-20260807033449401
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 648.97 |
| FrozenParasite | No | 349.5 |
| harley123 | Yes | 340.38 |
| drakelong | Yes | 338.52 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 306.06 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 270.07 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 198.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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