Analytics
Resolved Kamala on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Kamala at 79%. The Kamala side opened at 51.5% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 11 Sep 2024, the highest close was 82% on 9 Sep 2024 and the lowest 50.5% on 5 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 82% on 9 Sep 2024. $87.63K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 3:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Kamala price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 11 Sep 2024
| Observed | Kamala price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 51.5% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 79.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bdajscba | Trump | 525.18 |
| faky007-605 | Trump | 200.67 |
| friendo | Trump | 124.96 |
| Pekiian | Trump | 104.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle. This market will resolve to "Kamala" if Kamala Harris is asked the first debate question. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is asked the first debate question. If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The first debate question refers to the first question the moderators ask that is part of the actual debate (i.e. if the moderator just asks "Are you ready?" it won't count - this market is about the first question relevant to a debate topic.) The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-asked-the-first-debate-question
| Sbustillos247 | Trump | 41.67 |
| BossMan | Trump | 40 |
| Macbetru | Trump | 8.7 |
| DefiDigs | Trump | 7.27 |
| brokeidiot | Trump | 4.35 |
| Joetreer | Kamala | 0.06 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
