Analytics
Resolved Bayern on 17 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Bayern at 55.5%. The Arsenal side opened at 61% on 9 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2024 to 17 Apr 2024, the highest close was 61% on 9 Apr 2024 and the lowest 44.5% on 16 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 48% on 10 Apr 2024. $42.45K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Arsenal price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 9 Apr 2024 – 17 Apr 2024, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Arsenal price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2024 | 61.0% |
| 17 Apr 2024 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FRTY24 | Bayern | 7.84 |
| LBZcapital | Bayern | 0.03 |
| Ketosnacks | Bayern | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bayern Munich and Arsenal are scheduled to play in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals on April 9 and April 17, 2024. This market will resolve to "Arsenal" if Arsenal advances to the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions League by winning their tie against Bayern Munich. This market will resolve to "Bayern" if Bayern Munich advances to the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions League by winning their tie against Arsenal. If the tie between Bayern Munich and Arsenal is postponed to a date before June 1, 2024, this market's timeframe will extend to the new match dates. If the tie is canceled, or postponed to a date in June or later, this market will resolve immediately to "50-50". This market may be resolved immediately upon the completion of the second leg of the tie.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-advance-arsenal-or-bayern-munich
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