
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4% on 7 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2023 to 16 Jul 2023, the highest close was 5.5% on 9 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 14 Jul 2023. $53.61K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Jul 2023 – 16 Jul 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2023 | 4.0% |
| 16 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Harbor D5DE | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone is arrested in connection with the bag of cocaine found in the White House by July 15, 2023 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: If the person(s) arrested in connection with the cocaine are later found innocent it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market - this market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if an arrest is made.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/white-house-cokehead-arrested-by-july-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page