Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?

Resolved

Red, settled Sep 9, 2025 UTC

Red

100.0%

Blue

0.0%

Final Red 100¢Final Blue 0¢

Lifetime volume

$341.1K

Resolved

Red

Settled

Sep 9, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Red on 9 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Red at 99.9%. The Red side opened at 56% on 22 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2025 to 9 Sep 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 9 Sep 2025 and the lowest 56% on 22 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 99.9% on 9 Sep 2025. $341.08K traded over the market's life.

86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 4:39 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Red price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025

Red price, first and latest
Observed	Red price
22 Aug 2025	56.0%
9 Sep 2025	99.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
vol888	Blue	69K
Sweg	Blue	8.67K
Helgebjorlow	Blue	4K
smaronis	Blue	3.79K

10 of 86 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Red" if the combined total number of seats won by the Labour Party (Ap), Socialist Left Party (SV), Red Party (R), Centre Party (Sp), and Green Party (MDG) in the next Norwegian parliamentary election exceeds the combined total number of seats won by the Conservative Party (H), Progress Party (FrP), Liberal Party (V), and Christian Democratic Party (KrF). This market will resolve to "Blue" if the combined total number of seats won by the Conservative Party (H), Progress Party (FrP), Liberal Party (V), and Christian Democratic Party (KrF) in the next Norwegian parliamentary election exceeds the combined total number of seats won by the Labour Party (Ap), Socialist Left Party (SV), Red Party (R), Centre Party (Sp), and Green Party (MDG). If both blocs win an equal number of seats, or if the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50." This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).