Analytics
Yes is at 50.9%, down 26 points from 77% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 93.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50.9% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 50.9% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Where will it rain on October 27?”.
$252.34 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $510.43 since listing. The order book holds $3.02, with a 97.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is memetal with 198 shares; the largest No position is TheWindKnowsmyName with 260.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 77.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 50.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | No | 260.18 |
| memetal | Yes | 198.18 |
| Deficient-Kiss | Yes | 97.14 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on October 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-october-27-2026
2 more markets, none above 0.2%.
| Keen Raven 5BD9 |
| Yes |
| 49.91 |
| a5533 | No | 49.9 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 43 |
| choochbaby | Yes | 18.64 |
| buyat89 | Yes | 14.91 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | 14 |
| 0xSPBB | No | 6.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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