Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 13.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 2.8% on 16 Jan 2026. $20.54K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 15 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 13.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Woeful-Migration | Yes | 501.69 |
| gfgf1 | Yes | 300 |
| BoubouleLePetitZboub | Yes | 300 |
| kantocollect | Yes | 278.94 |
| Ayk123 | Yes | 155.98 |
| Buzzing-Butter | Yes | 103.07 |
| Awesome-Bladder | Yes | 62.5 |
| LabasAsCe | Yes | 40 |
| PolyKetCat | Yes | 35 |
| DashingG | Yes | 26.37 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On January 14, 2026, widespread internet and mobile service outages affected customers of major U.S. telecommunications providers, including Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile, across multiple states. You can read more about that here: reuters.com/business/media-telecom/verizons-network-down-thousands-users-us-downdetector-shows-2026-01-14. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the January 14 outages was caused by a hack by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity that caused the network outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. Government, Verizon, T-Mobile and AT&T. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/were-the-jan-14-outages-caused-by-a-hack
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