Analytics
Resolved Norway on 19 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Norway at 77.5%. The Italy side opened at 48.5% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 19 May 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 18 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 22.5% on 18 May 2026. $12.55K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 6:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Italy price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 May 2026 – 19 May 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Italy price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 48.5% |
| 19 May 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RedPartizan | Italy | 1.74K |
| Neitrino | Italy | 378.76 |
| kitopesivan | Italy | 281.96 |
| Mr.biKZ | Italy | 209.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming World Championships game, scheduled for 2026-05-19: If Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If Norway win, the market will resolve to "Norway". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.iihf.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wch-ita-nor-2026-05-19
| cesarcc | Italy | 195 |
| 3Dogs3 | Italy | 109.99 |
| Damsgaard | Italy | 84.4 |
| triklozoid | Italy | 50 |
| Illiterate-Burrow | Italy | 40.93 |
| 0xkspLIT83cRTwfi49SuQunewf | Italy | 35.66 |
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