Analytics
Resolved Italy on 11 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Italy at 9.5%. The USA side opened at 50% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 11 Mar 2026, the highest close was 95% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 50% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 72% on 3 Mar 2026.
113 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 7:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the USA price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 11 Mar 2026
| Observed | USA price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hidden-Nod | USA | 15.86K |
| GottaGoFaster | USA | 13.62K |
| botbot | USA | 13.01K |
| Olrefand2 | USA | 3.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between USA and Italy, scheduled for March 10 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the game. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-usa-ita-2026-03-10
| stir1 | USA | 1.26K |
| mrkenlin8877 | USA | 1.14K |
| AustinLinnn | USA | 980.99 |
| Arbga2026 | USA | 839 |
| leegunner | USA | 823.9 |
| MEV-PM | USA | 807 |
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