Analytics
Resolved Israel on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Israel at 68%. The Israel side opened at 51.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 72.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the low 40.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 68% on 9 Mar 2026.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 6:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Israel price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 9 Mar 2026
| Observed | Israel price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 68.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| statwC00KS | Nicaragua | 105.08K |
| xxzws1 | Nicaragua | 10.89K |
| spartachio | Nicaragua | 1.85K |
| JeremyWade | Nicaragua | 1.8K |
| Raypiaso002 | Nicaragua | 1K |
| Painfulvoid | Nicaragua | 645 |
| slimjoe | Nicaragua | 420.55 |
| blindsamsam | Nicaragua | 217.39 |
| Erikzamboer | Nicaragua | 124 |
| Amber Atlas E0F5 | Nicaragua | 108.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Israel and Nicaragua, scheduled for March 8 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel wins the game. This market will resolve to "Nicaragua" if Nicaragua wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-isr-nic-2026-03-08
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