Analytics
Resolved USA on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had USA at 97.7%. The Brazil side opened at 51.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 27 Feb 2026 and the low 2.1% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 5% on 28 Feb 2026.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 6:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Brazil price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Brazil price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SomePoorGuy | Brazil | 4.54K |
| 432614799197 | Brazil | 1.54K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Brazil | 1.2K |
| Leandrobecerra | Brazil | 948.73 |
| Harmful-Wood | Brazil | 726.04 |
| lummoart | Brazil | 292.59 |
| NoFuturistic | Brazil | 237.01 |
| Pinguin.07 | Brazil | 219.37 |
| mdgc | Brazil | 200 |
| Fixed-Estate | Brazil | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Brazil and USA, scheduled for March 6 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil wins the game. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-bra-usa-2026-03-06
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