Will “Man I Need” by Olivia Dean win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

cultureResolved

No, settled Sep 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 28, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.4%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 19 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 13.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.2 points down, to 5.3% on 20 Sep 2026. $1.31K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 19 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	885.47
VJR-24	Yes	500
Decent-Corporal	Yes	63
.Menthe	Yes	50

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.