Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 19 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 12.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the low 3.7% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 5% on 20 Sep 2026. $1.07K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 2:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 19 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 12.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 4.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 885.47 |
| VJR-24 | Yes | 500 |
| pullthetrigger | Yes | 163.83 |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| a5533 | Yes | 30.26 |
| WarriorH | Yes | 29 |
| Rewards101 | No | 25 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 16.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vma-soty-2026
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