Analytics
Resolved China on 23 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had China at 20%. The USA side opened at 50% on 19 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2026 to 23 Jul 2026, the highest close was 80% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 76% on 21 Jul 2026. $2.86K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 24, 2:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the USA price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Jul 2026 – 23 Jul 2026
| Observed | USA price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Xercys | USA | 287.67 |
| 444kk | USA | 230.76 |
| Deafening-Possible | USA | 149.99 |
| TanksOMW | USA | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the volleyball match between USA and China in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 23 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the match. It will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vbvnl-usa2-chi-2026-07-23
| sweise | USA | 38.78 |
| asplla | USA | 20 |
| b608792b2d0e4a9f51e0a86b6cb39b0869f338b1 | USA | 20 |
| 708d6f0d7890c49d4345d073285f4e18ea8ecc7c | USA | 19.99 |
| Watchful-Peony | USA | 15 |
| triklozoid | USA | 15 |
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