Analytics
Resolved Poland on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Poland at 90.8%. The Poland side opened at 50% on 24 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.8% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 78.5% on 25 Jul 2026. $5.3K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 3:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Poland price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Poland price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 90.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sadi.mm | Ukraine | 1K |
| chubbygandalf | Ukraine | 500 |
| nio00x | Ukraine | 445.45 |
| spartachio | Ukraine | 290.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Poland and Ukraine in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 30 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Poland" if Poland wins the match. It will resolve to "Ukraine" if Ukraine wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vbvnl-pol2-ukr2-2026-07-30
| perme | Ukraine | 66.21 |
| standamo | Ukraine | 65.3 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Ukraine | 62.57 |
| Fitting-Pickle | Ukraine | 56.17 |
| BOOKMAKER67 | Ukraine | 39.99 |
| v4420 | Ukraine | 21 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
