Analytics
Resolved USA on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had USA at 42.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 24 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 25 Jul 2026 and the low 42% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 58.5% on 25 Jul 2026. $1.75K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 12:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 30 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 42.0% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| liteforw | Italy | 325.22 |
| Navidtabwee | Italy | 200 |
| Deafening-Possible | Italy | 150 |
| perme | Italy | 144 |
| Everythingisscrewed | Italy | 73.96 |
| Pups1969 | Italy | 31.75 |
| aminmb21 | Italy | 20 |
| Ahfbrkxh | Italy | 16.23 |
| triklozoid | Italy | 15 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Italy | 14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the volleyball match between Italy and USA in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 30 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy wins the match. It will resolve to "USA" if USA wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vbvnl-ita-usa-2026-07-30
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