Analytics
Resolved Ukraine on 12 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ukraine at 99.5%. The Ukraine side opened at 92% on 11 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Sep 2026 to 12 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 92% on 11 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 99.5% on 12 Sep 2026. $777.53 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 2:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Ukraine price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Sep 2026 – 12 Sep 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Ukraine price |
|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 92.0% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| spartachio | North Macedonia | 260.13 |
| VitMo | North Macedonia | 20 |
| bjprolo | North Macedonia | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Ukraine and North Macedonia in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 11 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ukraine" if Ukraine wins the match. It will resolve to "North Macedonia" if North Macedonia wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vbeuro-ukr2-nor-2026-09-11
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