Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 15 Jan 2026. $4.99K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 360 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 351.5 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 223 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 159 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming match between Wolves Esports and Trace Esports in the VCT China Kickoff Playoffs, scheduled for January 22 at 4:00am ET: If Wolves Esports wins exactly 0 maps in this series, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.twitch.tv/valorantesports_cn
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/val-te-wol-2026-01-22
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 152.42 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 55 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 17 |
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