Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 28 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 5.2% on 29 Oct 2025. $17.78K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 40.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hyperlickquid | Yes | 2.26K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Creepy-Underweight | Yes | 517.21 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 389 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Stablecoins depeg by December 31
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-by-december-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 291 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 207 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 114 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 80 |
| lionicryp | Yes | 66.61 |
