Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 136 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 65% on 15 Sep 2023 and the lowest 2.5% on 1 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 52% on 22 Dec 2023. $13.1K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 136 points, 19 Aug 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2023 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jeromeeee | Yes | 224.07 |
| 0xserendipity | Yes | 155.31 |
| hek | Yes | 140.79 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if USDC market cap has an 2-week average market cap of over 25 billion for dates between December 18 and December 31, 2023 ET (inclusive). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the “Historical Data” table for USDC on coingecko.com (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data/). To find the Market Cap data that will be used, open the Historical Data table for USDC, then find the number under “Market Cap” for the days to be used to calculate the 2-week average. If the resolution source is rendered permanently unavailable, CoinMarketCap will be used instead. The 2-week average for December 18-31, 2023 ET will be calculated by averaging the finalized market cap historical data from this market's resolution source for the dates in question (adding the market cap historical data for December 18-31, then dividing that sum by 14).
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/usdc-market-cap-over-25-billion-eoy
| Yes |
| 57.44 |
| mjd | Yes | 50.18 |
| Xvros | Yes | 42.73 |
| sfsgdtd | Yes | 2.15 |
| Indigo Raven B490 | Yes | 1.92 |
| cryptogirl | Yes | 1.43 |
| Artakinc | No | 0.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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