Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 43% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 43% on 28 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 7% on 29 Oct 2025. $18.2K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 43.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hyperlickquid | Yes | 1.94K |
| sipp- | Yes | 403.25 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 389 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 336.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Stablecoins depeg by December 31
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stablecoins-depeg-by-december-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 207 |
| Creepy-Underweight | Yes | 178.68 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 160 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 80 |
| osaka | Yes | 70 |
