US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 16, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC	1.3%	1.3%
Mar 12, 12:00 AM UTC	2.5%	2.5%
Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC	5.5%	5.5%
Mar 10, 12:00 AM UTC	10.5%	10.5%
Mar 9, 12:00 AM UTC	7.5%	7.5%
Mar 8, 12:00 AM UTC	9.5%	9.5%
Mar 7, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Mar 6, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC	13.5%	13.5%
Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%
Mar 3, 12:00 AM UTC	27.5%	27.5%
Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC	31.5%	31.5%
Mar 1, 12:00 AM UTC	50.5%	50.5%

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