
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 27 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 9.6% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. $543.3K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 27 Dec 2024 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2024 | 6.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| magaapeboy | Yes | 13.76K |
| alamsv | Yes | 13.21K |
| JohnCocktoastin | Yes | 7.51K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-takes-panama-canal-in-trumps-first-100-days
| Yes |
| 7.4K |
| Bob65 | Yes | 3.48K |
| heuer | Yes | 2.55K |
| Ananasius | Yes | 1.18K |
| win2moon | Yes | 833.33 |
| RandomInternetPerson | Yes | 682.78 |
| mneybrrrrr | Yes | 441.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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