US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Name: US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 28, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Feb 28, 12:00 AM UTC	34.5%	34.5%
Feb 27, 12:00 AM UTC	20.5%	20.5%
Feb 26, 12:00 AM UTC	20.5%	20.5%
Feb 25, 12:00 AM UTC	30.5%	30.5%
Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC	32.5%	32.5%
Feb 23, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Feb 22, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC	37.5%	37.5%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC	35.5%	35.5%

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