US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Name: US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Feb 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$18.8M

Resolved

Settled

Feb 21, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Feb 21, 12:00 AM UTC	0.9%	0.9%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM UTC	3.8%	3.8%
Feb 19, 12:00 AM UTC	5.5%	5.5%
Feb 18, 12:00 AM UTC	5.1%	5.1%
Feb 17, 12:00 AM UTC	5.9%	5.9%
Feb 16, 12:00 AM UTC	3.6%	3.6%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC	5.5%	5.5%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM UTC	5.5%	5.5%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM UTC	6.5%	6.5%
Feb 12, 12:00 AM UTC	8.5%	8.5%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM UTC	16.5%	16.5%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC	21.5%	21.5%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM UTC	18.5%	18.5%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM UTC	18.5%	18.5%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM UTC	14.5%	14.5%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM UTC	15.5%	15.5%

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