Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 18% on 23 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 23 Jun 2025 and the low 0.4% on 29 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 4.5% on 24 Jun 2025. $31.78K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 23 Jun 2025 – 29 Jun 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2025 | 18.0% |
| 29 Jun 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kjkgdr3jhg | Yes | 719.2 |
| bossbaby21 | Yes | 330 |
| OskarFury | Yes | 222.4 |
| rektbygrandma | Yes | 152.9 |
| Red099 | Yes | 102.04 |
| Jmakin | Yes | 72.21 |
| Fredric | Yes | 64.38 |
| AteoCreyente | Yes | 55.56 |
| ttry445 | No | 12.1 |
| Tomekk | Yes | 8.77 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an US military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-on-526
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