
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.3%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 11 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 95.3% on 16 May 2025 and the low 28% on 15 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 67 points up, to 95.3% on 16 May 2025. $56.33K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 11 May 2025 – 16 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | 47.5% |
| 16 May 2025 | 95.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cassandro | No | 19.61 |
| alhakham | No | 13.04 |
| lestAAAA | Yes | 0.05 |
| 30XA | Yes | 0.02 |
| truthteller | Yes | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Saudi nuclear research, nuclear weapons, and/or nuclear energy cooperation, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Saudi Arabia between May 10 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Saudi Arabia as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-saudi-arabia-nuclear-deal-before-july
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