Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 13% on 13 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 20.7% on 25 Jul 2024 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.3 points up, to 20.7% on 25 Jul 2024. $517.59K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 173 points, 13 Jul 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2024 | 13.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Senator Cynthia Lummis recently gave an interview where she voiced support for the US federal government acquiring Bitcoin to help bolster the US dollar (see https://x.com/SenLummis/status/1811747346172248262). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between July 11, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-government-bitcoin-reserves-in-2024
| Yes |
| 1.02K |
| haogngn | Yes | 999.93 |
| Touyanzhilinag | Yes | 999.51 |
| songdong | Yes | 999.16 |
| Saidovic | Yes | 800 |
| Personal-Semicircle | Yes | 787.05 |
| Shwig | No | 546.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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