Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 14% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 25 Apr 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 14% on 9 Apr 2026. $5.36M traded over the market's life.
268 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 12:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 14.0% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jipron73 | No | 593.5K |
| Impassioned-Impropriety | No | 393.33K |
| ALQ01 | No | 150K |
| Bold Meteor 59D5 | No | 100K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15
| Flawed-Ziggurat | No | 100K |
| Giving-Household | No | 82.99K |
| Rochado | No | 64.69K |
| joalexmen | No | 50K |
| Frog7707. | No | 50K |
| Sidje | No | 50K |
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