Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.2% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 99.2% on 21 Jan 2026. $43.07K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 66.5% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jaybito | No | 10K |
| LukeGamma | No | 1.47K |
| Mhdoff | No | 1K |
| Gregarious-Deadline | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-another-oil-ship-by-995
| xxxTeeMxxx | No | 645.27 |
| Stimulating-Atrium | No | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 393.99 |
| holdmypoutine | No | 363.06 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 175 |
| Admirable-Poem | No | 124.41 |
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