Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 14 Dec 2023. Before it settled, the high was 62.5% on 14 Dec 2023 and the low 2.4% on 28 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 30% on 3 Jan 2024. $49.27K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 6:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 50 points · 14 Dec 2023 – 1 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2023 | 62.5% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hanah518 | Yes | 8.2 |
| completion | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president or the US secretary of state officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between December 12, 2023 and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president or US secretary of state and/or their official representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-call-for-gaza-ceasefire-before-february
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