Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 32% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 32% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 4.5% on 3 May 2026. $14.14K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 4:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 2 May 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 32.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AIisme | Yes | 1.02K |
| GrishaYeagerr | Yes | 600 |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 411 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 140 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-announces-shutdown-of-gaza-military-center-by-may-15
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Maureen29yu | Yes | 78 |
| fleurl0ve | Yes | 63 |
| Clueless-Salute | Yes | 52.63 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Imaginary-Collagen | Yes | 20.41 |
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