Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 18 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 22 Jun 2026, the highest close was 70.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 21 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 27.5% on 21 Jun 2026. $1.03K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 10:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 22 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 51.5% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winner of the 2026 U.S. Open is a player that has never previously won a U.S. Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 U.S. Open is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the USGA (https://www.usga.org/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uptspt-open-first-time-winner-20260616194208373
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
