Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.9% on 31 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 83.3% on 14 Nov 2025. $23.51K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 59.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| atomlayer | Yes | 891.49 |
| gsnwaott | Yes | 431.96 |
| aARSNT | Yes | 380 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 291 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/up-only-podcast-released-by-october-31
| pingjiehao | Yes | 268.33 |
| shitanlu | Yes | 263.33 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 253.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225.98 |
| queenbey | Yes | 200 |
| Kwnagi | Yes | 169.98 |
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