Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 28 Feb 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56% on 18 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 55% on 12 Jan 2026. $164.16K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kandinsky | Yes | 436.3 |
| DeannaSmith7248 | Yes | 120 |
| event horizon | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes." The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/up-only-podcast-released-by-october-31
| Yes |
| 88 |
| AndrewCollins3126 | Yes | 53 |
| wildverse | Yes | 46 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 44.64 |
| MariaBarker2734 | No | 31 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| MaryGarcia6799 | No | 30 |
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