Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 2 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 2 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 83.5% on 28 Jun 2026. $3.16K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 3:49 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Jun 2026	52.5%
2 Aug 2026	98.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
MobileRabbit	No	430.7
TENETENET	No	100
Noted-Locomotive	No	86.11
Tattered-Advertisement	No	50

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.