
Resolved No on 24 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 12 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 43.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 5.5% on 16 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 7% on 13 Sep 2026. $473.36K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 25, 9:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 12 Sep 2026 – 24 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 43.5% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| biruleybe | Yes | 25K |
| Peupo012 | Yes | 23.11K |
| MrDouche | Yes | 20.09K |
| Smallcoins | Yes | 12.5K |
| BepiJr | Yes | 10K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.23K |
| Violet Voyager 719A | Yes | 1.89K |
| 30-Yard | Yes | 1.08K |
| niubiniubihahaha | Yes | 933.33 |
| Deepcoin | Yes | 896.6 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Portugal and Wales.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/unl-prt-wal-2026-09-24
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