Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 29 Sep 2026, the price held at 50%.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 29 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Bulgaria and Estonia, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Martin Miller takes the field as a member of Estonia's official starting lineup for this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Martin Miller is officially announced as part of the starting lineup but is replaced before the game begins for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". Only players on the pitch at kickoff count toward a "Yes" resolution. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been played. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or has not been played by October 6, 2026, 2:45 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official starting lineup published by the governing body or event organizers. If it is unavailable, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/unl-bul-est-2026-09-29-starting-eleven-away
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