Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 26 Sep 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belarus and Finland, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Uladzislaŭ Maĺkievič takes the field as a member of Belarus's official starting lineup for this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Uladzislaŭ Maĺkievič is officially announced as part of the starting lineup but is replaced before the game begins for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". Only players on the pitch at kickoff count toward a "Yes" resolution. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been played. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or has not been played by October 13, 2026, 2:45 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official starting lineup published by the governing body or event organizers. If it is unavailable, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/unl-bela-fin-2026-10-06-starting-eleven-home
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
