Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 3 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 12.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the low 1.6% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7% on 27 Aug 2026. $1.35K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 3 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 12.5% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 99.39 |
| acal | Yes | 21.99 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Umia's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Umia after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Umia (https://x.com/umia_finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/umia_finance
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/umia-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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