Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 35% on 6 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 6 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 10 Sep 2024 and the lowest 2.5% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 52.5% on 10 Sep 2024. $145.26K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 11:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 6 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2024 | 35.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between September 4 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-strike-on-moscow-by-september-30
| RomanT | Yes | 197.09 |
| black666 | Yes | 150 |
| Bolenath | Yes | 100.08 |
| franciswalsh | Yes | 75 |
| NoXXik | Yes | 65.79 |
| Mclovin | Yes | 16.67 |
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